The film capacitors in these ballasts actually do wear out, mainly the resonant capacitor parallel to the lamp (few nF rated at some 600..2000V). They tend to loose capacitance over time. Dunno the exact lamp circuit connection in this ballast, but it either causes insufficient preheat (so then the cold electrode operation triggers the EOL protection) or even inability to reach the resonance, so generally insufficient voltage to strike the lamp.
Fortunately this can be usually measured without disassembling the ballast (you just have to subtract few 100pF; capacitance reduced by some 20..30% is no uissue, problems start when it droops below 50% of the rated value and that you will see in circuit).
Also look carefuly for small electrolytics - some ballasts use them for EOL protection debouncer/filter. If these dry out, the protection kicks in prematurely, e.g. when the lamp is harder to start due to temperature.
And problem could be with the fixture construction and wiring: These lamps rely on the grounded metalwork near the lamp to provide an auxiliary external electrode that helps ignition. Without it, again mainly at low temperatures, the ignition voltage may become too high or the ignition take too long for the protection to kick in.
But also truth is, warming electrolytic capacitors reduces their ESR, so if some is dying, it pops up as a problem at low temperatures first.